Friday, March 1, 2019
Population and Economic Growth Essay
The view amid official and negative sides of state step-up is ongoing. Population ontogenesis en everyplacesizes labour lunge and, in that respectfore, annexs stintingal festering. A expectant community also provides a big(a) national market for the economy. Moreover, state egression encourages competition, which induces technological advancements and innovations. Nevertheless, a large universe of discourse harvesting is not only associated with food problem however also imposes constraints on the development of savings, foreign exchange and human resources.Generally, there is no consensus whether population growth is beneficial or insalubrious to sparing growth in developing economies. Moreover, empirical licence on the depend for developing economies is relatively limited (Savas, 2008). harmonise to Population revisionist economists, population growth acts as an indispensable constituent for stimulating economic development because a sizeable population provides the required consumer demand to gene vagabond favorable economies of collection plate in output, lower production costs, and provide a sufficient and cheap labor supply to achieve gameyer output levels (Todaro 1995, p. 03).Johnson (1999) pointed out that a high rate of economic growth is associated with high population growth and low economic growth is associated with low population growth. The issue of population and economic growth is as old as the discipline ofeconomics itself. The deliberate on the alliance between population andeconomic growth could be traced subscribe to 1798 when Thomas Malthus published the book An Essay on the Principle of Population.Malthus claimed that there is a tendency for the population growth rate to surpass the production growth rate because population increases at a geometrical rate while production increases at an arithmetic rate. Thus, the unfettered population growth in a country could plunge it into acute poverty. However, the p essimist view has proven unfounded for developed economies in that they managed to achieve a high level of economic growth and thus, both population and the real gross domestic product (GDP)per capita were able to increase (Savas, 2008).Similarly, many of the empirical studies that claimedthat a quick population growth impeded economicdevelopment could not be considered reliable. This isbecause the statistical correlational statistics between populationexpansion and economic growth has not addressed thecausal relationship between the two (Repetto, 1985). The nature, direction and pattern of the causal relationship between population growth and economic growth has been the subject of very old debate among economists, demographers, policy-makers and enquiryers which is an open issue in development economics.Even though the connection between population development and economic development has received panoptic attention in the earlier period, it seems a conventionalize reality tha t it is unassailable to obtain a robust effect of population on economic development today. Despite the fact that there are abundant research studies on the relationship between population and economic development, there is no universal consensus as to whether population expansion is beneficial or detrimental to economic growth. (SarbapriyaandIshita, 2012).Population and Economic GrowthThe debate on the relationship between population and economic growth could be traced back to Malthus. According to Malthus, population tends to grow geometrically, whereas food supplies grow only arithmetically. According to the Malthusian model, the causation goes in both directions. Higher economic growth increases population by stimulating earlier marriages and higher birth rates, and by track down mortality from malnutrition and otherwise factors. On the other hand, higher population also depresses economic growth through diminish returns.This dynamic interaction between population and econo mic growth is the centre of the Malthusian model, which implies a stationary population in the long-run equilibrium. Malthuss concern created preferably a a stir in the early nineteenth century England, preeminent to widespread calls for restraints on population growth. Still, the English population expanded quite rapidly throughout the nineteenth century, but by most evidence real income rose and the spectre of mass starvation declined(Sarbapriya and Ishita, 2012).One of the stylized facts about population in all contemporary developed nations is that over the past couple of centuries it has passed through three peglegs (i. e. , demographic transition). The first stage is characterized by high birth rates and high death rates, resulting in a slow population growth. In thesecond stage there was a decrease in death rates, however the birth rates remained high as a consequence of increases in population. Finally, in the third stage, fertility rates fell and combined with low mort ality rates resulted in very low or no population growth.The usual explanations for the cartridge clip evolution of population relies generally on the idea that the improvement of economic conditions which includes massive improvements in public health led first to a reduction in the mortality rates, and finally to a decrease in the birth rates. As income per capita is a good proxy for economic conditions because it reflects, among other things, the impact of technology, education and health, the usual explanations therefore suggest that there is a strong link between per capita income and population.Indeed, the main theories put forward by economists to explain the evolution of population relates it to per capita income not aggregate output. This implies that there is a direct relation between per capita income and population size, an increase in income per capita leads to an increase in the size of population ((Sarbapriya and Ishita, 2012) The relationship between population an d economicgrowth is convoluted and the empirical evidence is ambiguous, particularly concerning the causes and impacts3. It can be demonstrated in a theoretical model that a large population growth could have both negative and positive impacts on productivity4.A large population may reduce productivity because of diminishing returns to more intensifier use of land and other natural resources. Conversely, a large population could encourage greater specialization, and a large market increases returns to human uppercase and knowledge. Thus, the net relationship between greater population and economic growth depends on whether the inducements to human capital and expansion of knowledge are stronger than diminishing returns to natural resources. Therefore, it is important to examine the population and economic growth linkup (Savas, 2008).
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